Most major banks, brokerages, and real estate boards are largely aligned on their outlook for the Greater Toronto Area housing market in 2026.
The consensus points to a modest softening in average sale prices—approximately 3–5% overall (with slightly smaller declines for single-family homes and slightly larger adjustments for condominiums). At the same time, transaction activity is expected to increase by a similar margin of 3–5%, signalling a more active but measured market.
What’s contributing to softer pricing?
Several factors are expected to apply downward pressure on prices:
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